Knowledge for Development

Fish to 2030: Prospects for fisheries and aquaculture


Date: 28/02/2014


This new joint report by World Bank, FAO, and the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) on the prospect for fisheries and aquaculture shows that fish farming will provide close to two thirds of global food fish consumption by 2030. It estimates that catches from wild capture fisheries will level off while demand from an emerging global middle class will increase substantially. Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to see a per capitafish consumption decline of 1 % per year from 2010 to 2030 but, due to rapid population growth of 2.3 % in the same period, the region's total fish consumption will grow by 30 % overall. By 2030, 62 % of food fish will come from aquaculture with the fastest supply growth likely to come from tilapia, carp, and catfish. Threats from large-scale disease outbreaks in aquaculture and climate change-related impacts could dramatically alter this, and the potential of small scale aquaculture must be exploited.     

(FAO and IFPRI, 05/02/2014)   

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